Some gamblers like to use trendy trends but like each black jack hand, each hand, or game has is its own independent trial. American football is more compacted than a deck of cards. The players are human and we are limited to the information that would affect their play. Many variables, but coaches don't change often. The NFL is about having a system that puts players in the best position to win and knows when the players start declining in production. And frekin quarterbacks, without a quarterback, you could end up 0-5, like the 49ers.
San Diego -8.5
The Chargers want to make a statement after a loss to the Raiders. After beating a team 13 times in a row, you will get mad when the streaks ends. The Rams will learn this lesson and will not make a game of this. The rookie Bradford will struggle against a tough Changer defense.
Kansas City +4
The Castle against the Schaub. Coach Hailer for the Chiefs, the Billicheck disciple will have his team ready, on the road. Texas, dead last in passing defense. Matt Castle will eat up the secondary and look to establish themselves as a power in the AFC.
New England -2.5
I was thinking about picking the Ravens on the road, but if rule # 1 is don't bet against Peyton, then rule 1 a is don't bet against Brady and Bellicheck. Must watch game, nuff said.
Ohh, the rumors in Dallas will be swirling about coaches job security if they cannot pull a road win against the gun slinger Favre. Both have tough and aggressive defense. Head will be rolling, knocking and careers might be on the line. Vikes by 6 in the desperation bowl.
Big Bens's return, he's ready for his redemption story. Back to being himself, a football player, he said. The Steelers roll at home, excited to see their start quarterback back on the field.
So are the Jets doing hard knocks again? It only makes sense, they found the best character in the NFL, Rex Ryan. They slip a little this week. Denver, at home, win outright by a field goal.
New Orleans -4
Bucs quarterback Josh Freeman is being hyped as a player who can lead the Bucs back to where Gruden lead them, the Super Bowl. I'm not buying it, not this week. Saints are looking for a statement game on the road against a young and tough Tampa Bay team.
Battle of the Bay bitches. No way more than 4 points separates these teams. They are trying to entice the Raider Nation into wagering. We are and probably betting big after a great win over San Diego. I can't wait.
2010 NFL Record 17-10-1
LAST WEEK: 2-3